U.S Market Review on December 5, 2014

InvestClinic - In the US session today will be 3 to data released by that Non-Farm Employment Change in estimate rose from 214K into 231K, the trade balance of -43.0B strengthened to -41.3B, while unemployment is expected to remain at 5.8% figure.
 
Previous dragi has not provide a strong enough signal of additional monetary stimulus, so that the EU has strengthened. The ECB also cut its growth forecast for the euro zone next year to 1.0% of the projection in September by 1.6%. 

Inflation expectations for 2015 are also reduced to only 0.7% from the previous 1.1%, well below the ECB's target of close to 2%. based on the description above can be concluded that for the news tonight in the prediction would side with the USD. For long-term euro also allegedly would have strengthened, if the issue of QE will actually be applied.

Market: Important Notice on New York Sesion


Market Tone: Aussie and British pound soared as economic data topped estimates successfully trigger a rally two currencies. In Australia the rate of GDP reported up 0.6% above the estimated 0.5% and a strong reason for the RBA to remain neutral on monetary policy yesterday. While the services sector is estimated that the UK rocketed beyond confirming the UK economic momentum despite the unemployment rate is still relatively high. Separately European regional shares and U.S. stock market futures are still in Syria worries overshadowed pressure.

Fed's Beige Book: The focus of investors will be focused on the release of the Fed's Beige Book showed economic conditions that can last the 12 Federal Reserve districts. The economic data will be an important input ahead of the FOMC monetary policy meeting in 2 weeks mendetang. Beige Book also can provide a variety of information analysts to predict whether the Fed will embark reduction program of bond purchases worth $ 85 billion per month.

Fed Speakers: Attention will then be focused on two speeches scheduled Fed officials, among others, San Francisco Fed President John Williams and Minneapolis Fed President Narayana Kocherlakota who can provide further clues about the direction of the Fed's monetary.

Samsung: Samsung will launch the smartwatch newest product, called Galaxy Gear at Consumer Electronics Exhibition in Berlin. In addition it will also show off the tablet Samsung Galaxy Note 3 terabrunya. At the same time Sony also will show debuts smartphone Xperia Z1. Sony and Samsung hopes to beat the latest iPhone products which will be launched on the 10th September.

U.S. Auto Industry: The U.S. auto industry will report monthly sales rate for August is expected to rise to 15.5 million units, consistent with the level of sales in July. Overall vehicle sales in the U.S. are stabilizing.


Gold On Bearish Pressure, Be Alert 1563.10


The movement of Gold in hourly chart seen is on bearish bias. Preference for today is bearish with 2 alternative scenarios. First, watch the Support 1563.10, if it breaks it potential trigger continue bearish movement to the range 1553.50.  

Second, Watch area between the resistance 1583.43  and resistance 1572.70, this area can be key for hunt bearish signal/pattern. If bearish signal/pattern appears in this area, it potentially triggers bearish movement aim the support 1563.10.

Ignore the preference if the resistance 1583.43 breaks, because bias bearish has change to bullish, within possibility price move upward to the range 1594.16-1603.76.

AUD/USD remains under pressure

AUD/USD remains under pressure. Initial support is at 1.0395 which if breaks might amplify the bearish pressure that could push AUD/USD down to 1.0372 – 1.0345.

Hourly stochastic and CCI are still mixed, but it is better to prepare alternative strategy in case bullish correction occurs to the resistance area at 1.0434 – 1.0457. Bearish signal that might confirm within the area could trigger a fallback move to 1.0419 – 1.0395.

The intraday bias will turn to bullish only if the resistance at 1.0475 breaks. In that case, AUD/USD will get the chance to move up to 1.0473 – 1.0496.

GBP/USD is in Bullish Bias, Beware of Correction


Intraday bias for GBP/USD currently is bullish. Initial resistance is at 1.5219. The bullish bias will be stronger if that resistance breaks and potentially will raise GBP/USD up to 1.5249 – 1.5282. Nevertheless, beware of correction since hourly stochastic and CCI are overbought. As alternative scenario, watch the support area at 1.5170 – 1.5140 if correction occurs to within that area to look for bullish signal confirmation as buy signal, with rebound target at 1.5189 – 1.5219.

Be careful if the support at 1.5140 breaks because it will turn the intraday bias to bearish and possibly will push GBP/USD down to 1.5121 – 1.5091.

HangSeng kept under depressed


HangSeng kept depressed, getting closer to support at 22,367. Preference for today is bearish, especially if the support is transparent and will potentially increase the bearish pressure could suppress HangSeng to the range of 22173-21956.

Although stochastic and CCI 1 hour shows oversold indications, the strong bearish pressure is likely to reduce the possibility of a pullback today. However - if any pullback occurs - is expected to be held in the area of ​​resistance in the range of 22561-22779. Intraday bias will turn bullish only if it broke resistance at 22,779. If that happens, then there are opportunities for bullish movement to the range of 22996-23190.

S & P 500 Potencially Bullish


Generally, intraday bias of the S & P 500 index movement looks on bullish condition. Technically, the stochastic indicator is in potential bullish condition. If index strengthen up and penetrate resistance at 1551.25 would have a chance to bring index move upwards towards resistance at 1556.42.

Meanwhile, be-alert if bearish signal was appear in index movement. Be-warn, if index weaken and penetrate support at 1546.77 that there is potential index will move downwards towards the next support at 1541.75.


Dow Jones Potentially on Correction Phase, Be-warn Support at 14339


Generally, intraday bias of the Dow Jones index movement looks on bullish condition. Technically, the stochastic indicator is in potential bullish condition. If index strengthen up and penetrate resistance at 14382 would have a chance to bring index move upwards towards resistance at 14432.

Meanwhile, be-alert if bearish signal was appear in index movement. Be-warn, if index weaken and penetrate support at 1439 that there is potential index will move downwards towards the next support at 14291.

USDJPY : Likely bullish


Time Frame D1
R3 98.51
R2 97.52
R1 96.76
Pivot 95.77
S1 95.01
S2 94.03
S3 93.27

RSI (14) 71.67

Prediction today, trend: Bullish
The above position will rise to around 98.50

EUR/USD back under strong bearish pressure



EUR/USD back under strong bearish pressure after falling from resistance at 1.3133. Price is currently engaged in a phase of consolidation approaching resistance area in the range of 1.3022 - 1.3065. Bearish signal that may be confirmed in the range is likely to be a sell signal with a target in the range of 1.2996 - 1.2954. Furthermore, the penetration of the support at 1.2954 is expected to increase and potentially bearish pressure will push EUR/USD to range 1.2912 - 1.2865.

Intraday bias will turn bullish if resistance at 1.3065 broke. If that happens, the EUR/USD is expected to move up into the range of 1.3091 - 1.3133.

GBP / USD: under pressure






GBP / USD remains under pressure, moving around the 1.4844 support. If support is broken, the GBP / USD is expected to continue to be depressed to the range of 1.4838 - 1.4786.

On the other hand stochastic and CCI 1 hour shows a bullish indication. Therefore there is the possibility of a pullback will occur towards resistance area in the range of 1.4983 - 1.5035. GBP / USD is still in a bearish bias over the last resistance, the bearish signals that may appear in this range is expected to be a sell signal with a target in the range of 1.4930 - 1.4884.

New intraday bias will turn bullish if resistance at 1.5035 broke. If that happens, GBP / USD is expected to move towards 1.5081 - 1.5110.

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