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The Fed's: Confusion of Interest Rate

Posted by Unknown Posted on 8:57 PM with No comments

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The Fed is considering raising interest rates in a given period of time. Meanwhile, Dennis Lockhart optimistic US economy will be fine, although the Fed is keeping interest rates until the middle of next year. Lockhart also consider inflation also not meet the target of 2 percent. Personally he would like to see growth of 3 percent in 2015 and the percentage of the unemployment rate fell between 5.25 to 5.5 at the end of 2015.

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Posted by Unknown Posted on 7:39 PM with No comments

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U.S Market Review on December 5, 2014

Posted by Unknown Posted on 3:55 PM with 1 comment

InvestClinic - In the US session today will be 3 to data released by that Non-Farm Employment Change in estimate rose from 214K into 231K, the trade balance of -43.0B strengthened to -41.3B, while unemployment is expected to remain at 5.8% figure.

Previous dragi has not provide a strong enough signal of additional monetary stimulus, so that the EU has strengthened. The ECB also cut its growth forecast for the euro zone next year to 1.0% of the projection in September by 1.6%.

Inflation expectations for 2015 are also reduced to only 0.7% from the previous 1.1%, well below the ECB's target of close to 2%. based on the description above can be concluded that for the news tonight in the prediction would side with the USD. For long-term euro also allegedly would have strengthened, if the issue of QE will actually be applied.

U.S. Market Review on December 04, 2014

Posted by Unknown Posted on 6:30 PM with No comments

American session possibility USD will move randomly. this is caused by unemployment claims data will be released today. in addition, the euro zone is currently in a difficult time, Mario Draghi hesitated to purchase government bonds.

According to daily news from Reuters, the Fed's Fischer Says buys government bonds by the ECB would have positive effects, Fischer also suggested the ECB did the same thing as the Fed's doing, so expect a positive effect for the eurozone. Until this article is issued, EUR/USD is still stagnant at 1.2315 position, predicted Euro will weaken against the US dollar within a few days up to 1.2229.

U.S session December 03, 2014

Posted by Unknown Posted on 8:08 PM with No comments

U.S Session News Release Today.

ADP Non-Farm Employment Change is the most awaited news by traders, because the effect of the news can be categorized great, so that made reference to gain, with expectations of 223k or lower than the previous of 230K so it is likely the USD weakened on this day. This is supported by other data releases such forecasts Revised Nonfarm Productivity q/q, the Revised Unit Labor Costs q/q, Final Services PMI which is expected to be worse than before.

ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI, predicted improved from the previous 57.1 to 57.5. Market participants are also still waiting for comments from FOMC members that Plosser and Brainard. Until this article was written, the USD/JPY is in a position 119.44 or rose 30 points on the day.

Market: Important Notice on New York Sesion

Posted by Unknown Posted on 8:26 PM with No comments

Market Tone: Aussie and British pound soared as economic data topped estimates successfully trigger a rally two currencies. In Australia the rate of GDP reported up 0.6% above the estimated 0.5% and a strong reason for the RBA to remain neutral on monetary policy yesterday. While the services sector is estimated that the UK rocketed beyond confirming the UK economic momentum despite the unemployment rate is still relatively high. Separately European regional shares and U.S. stock market futures are still in Syria worries overshadowed pressure.

Fed's Beige Book: The focus of investors will be focused on the release of the Fed's Beige Book showed economic conditions that can last the 12 Federal Reserve districts. The economic data will be an important input ahead of the FOMC monetary policy meeting in 2 weeks mendetang. Beige Book also can provide a variety of information analysts to predict whether the Fed will embark reduction program of bond purchases worth $ 85 billion per month.

Fed Speakers: Attention will then be focused on two speeches scheduled Fed officials, among others, San Francisco Fed President John Williams and Minneapolis Fed President Narayana Kocherlakota who can provide further clues about the direction of the Fed's monetary.

Samsung: Samsung will launch the smartwatch newest product, called Galaxy Gear at Consumer Electronics Exhibition in Berlin. In addition it will also show off the tablet Samsung Galaxy Note 3 terabrunya. At the same time Sony also will show debuts smartphone Xperia Z1. Sony and Samsung hopes to beat the latest iPhone products which will be launched on the 10th September.

U.S. Auto Industry: The U.S. auto industry will report monthly sales rate for August is expected to rise to 15.5 million units, consistent with the level of sales in July. Overall vehicle sales in the U.S. are stabilizing.

Gold On Bearish Pressure, Be Alert 1563.10

Posted by Unknown Posted on 7:51 PM with 2 comments

The movement of Gold in hourly chart seen is on bearish bias. Preference for today is bearish with 2 alternative scenarios. First, watch the Support 1563.10, if it breaks it potential trigger continue bearish movement to the range 1553.50.

Second, Watch area between the resistance 1583.43 and resistance 1572.70, this area can be key for hunt bearish signal/pattern. If bearish signal/pattern appears in this area, it potentially triggers bearish movement aim the support 1563.10.

Ignore the preference if the resistance 1583.43 breaks, because bias bearish has change to bullish, within possibility price move upward to the range 1594.16-1603.76.